Election 2020 – Public Sentiment Survey

PRESS RELEASE 14 FEB 2020

Election results point to low levels of trust in government while over 80% believe that Sinn Fein will form part of the next government.

Interactions Research surveyed 1,006 Irish adults between February 10 and February 13, 2020 to measure voting behaviour, levels of trust in political parties and expectations for the make-up of the next government.

57% of respondents expressed low levels of trust in the outgoing government. More trust was recorded in the incoming government, with 44% expressing low levels of trust in the yet-to-be-formed government.

Respondents who gave their first preference vote to Sinn Fein candidates in the February 8th election reported more distrust in the government than the general public. 74% of Sinn Fein voters expressed low levels of trust in the outgoing government.

An interesting finding shows nearly all (95%) of Sinn Fein voters expect Sinn Fein to form part of the incoming government, but half (49%) of these same voters continue to express low trust levels in a Sinn Fein Government. Over half (56%) the cohort who voted Sinn Fein No. 1 believe the next government will be a “SF/other party” alliance i.e. not FF or FG.

A full 81% of respondents, regardless of reported voting history, expect that Sinn Fein will form part of the next government.

39% expect to see a Fianna Fail/Sinn Fein Alliance

37% expect to see a Sinn Fein/Other Alliance

15% foresee a Fianna Gael/Sinn Fein Alliance

Interactions Research interviewed 1,006 Irish adults online between 10th & 13th February giving a margin of error of +/- 4%.

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